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The NC State Wolfpack are one win away from their first March Madness championship appearance since 1983. But standing in their way is Zach Edey and the Purdue Boilermakers.
The clock is still yet to hit midnight on NC State’s Cinderella run, but the Wolfpack now has to take down a team heavily favored to beat them.
Here are our picks, odds and best bets for the NC State vs. Purdue Final Four showdown:
- READ: Best Final Four Betting Sites in North Carolina
- READ: UConn vs. Alabama Final Four Preview
- READ: 2024 Final Four Odds, Preview
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2024 NC State vs. Purdue Final Four odds, preview, and pick: Purdue -9.5 (-110 or better)

NC State’s foray into the third weekend of March Madness is nothing short of sensational. About a month ago, it seemed as if they had no hope of even making it into the bracket.
Despite going 9-11 in the ACC, the Wolfpack got hot at the perfect time and have now won nine straight games. Senior forward DJ Burns Jr. is averaging 16.6 points during that stretch and just scored a season-high 29 points in a 76-64 win over Duke.
This is a classic situation in which season metrics become totally irrelevant. KenPom ranks NC State as the 43rd-best team in college basketball, yet here they are, one win away from earning the right to compete for the national championship.
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While mostly everyone loves an upset, the Boilermakers are sick of the fairy tales. They were eliminated by double-digit seeds in each of the last three tournaments and are attempting to follow in the footsteps of the 2019 Virginia team, which won the national title the season after they were eliminated in the Round of 64 by a 16 seed.
Edey is averaging 30 points and 16.3 rebounds in four tournament games and just finished dropping 40 points and 16 boards on No. 2 Tennessee in the Elite Eight. He now has seven straight games with at least 23 points and 11 rebounds.
The Wolfpack need to hope Burns can successfully battle Edey in the post while they also take away Purdue’s 3-point shooters, who maintain a standard of nearly 41%. It’s a tall task for a team that was mediocre for most of the year, but then again, they’re as hot as fish oil.
Ultimately, we believe this is where NC State’s run comes to an end, and we’re riding with the big dogs.
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